Inflation and Public Debt Reversals in the G7 Countries /

This paper investigates the impact of low or high inflation on the public debt-to-GDP ratio in the G-7 countries. Our simulations suggest that if inflation were to fall to zero for five years, the average net debt-to-GDP ratio would increase by about 5 percentage points over the next five years. In...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Akitoby, Bernardin
Andre forfattere: Binder, Ariel, Komatsuzaki, Takuji
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/096
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Akitoby, Bernardin. 
245 1 0 |a Inflation and Public Debt Reversals in the G7 Countries /  |c Bernardin Akitoby, Takuji Komatsuzaki, Ariel Binder. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2014. 
300 |a 1 online resource (28 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper investigates the impact of low or high inflation on the public debt-to-GDP ratio in the G-7 countries. Our simulations suggest that if inflation were to fall to zero for five years, the average net debt-to-GDP ratio would increase by about 5 percentage points over the next five years. In contrast, raising inflation to 6 percent for the next five years would reduce the average net debt-to-GDP ratio by about 11 percentage points under the full Fisher effect and about 14 percentage points under the partial Fisher effect. Thus higher inflation could help reduce the public debt-to-GDP ratio somewhat in advanced economies. However, it could hardly solve the debt problem on its own and would raise significant challenges and risks. First of all, it may be difficult to create higher inflation, as evidenced by Japan's experience in the last few decades. In addition, un-anchoring of inflation expectations could increase long-term real interest rates, distort resource allocation, reduce economic growth, and hurt the lower-income households. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Binder, Ariel. 
700 1 |a Komatsuzaki, Takuji. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2014/096 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2014/096/001.2014.issue-096-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library