Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies /

We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that took place in 29 EMs between January 1995 and December 2012. Stronger real GDP growth rates and higher...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Yazar: Comelli, Fabio
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/065
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF