Comparing the Performance of Logit and Probit Early Warning Systems for Currency Crises in Emerging Market Economies /

We compare how logit (fixed effects) and probit early warning systems (EWS) predict insample and out-of-sample currency crises in emerging markets (EMs). We look at episodes of currency crises that took place in 29 EMs between January 1995 and December 2012. Stronger real GDP growth rates and higher...

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Autor principal: Comelli, Fabio
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/065
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF