Disentangling India's Investment Slowdown /

This paper documents the recent slowdown in investment in India and explores its underlying causes. The sharp investment deceleration has sparked an intense debate about the role of interest rates, as well as business confidence and economic policy uncertainty. Our results suggest that while explain...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Anand, Rahul
Outros Autores: Tulin, Volodymyr
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/047
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:This paper documents the recent slowdown in investment in India and explores its underlying causes. The sharp investment deceleration has sparked an intense debate about the role of interest rates, as well as business confidence and economic policy uncertainty. Our results suggest that while explaining aggregate investment activity better than nominal interest rates, real interest rates account for only one quarter of the explained investment downturn. In addition, standard macro-financial variables do not fully explain the recent investment slump. Using a new measure of economic policy uncertainty, the results suggest that heightened uncertainty and deteriorating business confidence have played a key role in the recent investment slowdown.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (18 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students