Information Rigidities : Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel /
We study forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 36 advanced and emerging economies during 1989-2010. We show that the degree of information rigidity in average forecasts is substantially higher than that in individual forecasts. Individual level forecasts are...
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| Rannpháirtithe: | , , |
| Formáid: | IRIS |
| Teanga: | English |
| Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2014.
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| Sraith: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2014/031 |
| Ábhair: | |
| Rochtain ar líne: | Full text available on IMF |
| Achoimre: | We study forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 36 advanced and emerging economies during 1989-2010. We show that the degree of information rigidity in average forecasts is substantially higher than that in individual forecasts. Individual level forecasts are updated quite frequently, a behavior more in line 'noisy' information models (Woodford, 2002; Sims, 2003) than with the assumptions of the sticky information model (Mankiw and Reis, 2002). While there are cross-country variations in information rigidity, there is no systematic difference between advanced and emerging economies. |
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| Cur síos ar an mír: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Cur síos fisiciúil: | 1 online resource (24 pages) |
| Formáid: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Rochtain: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |