Do Forecasters Believe in Okun's Law? : An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts /

This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent with Okun's Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun coefficient-the responsiveness of unemployment to growth-from fore...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Ball, Laurence
Другие авторы: Jalles, Joao Tovar, Loungani, Prakash
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/024
Предметы:
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF