Do Forecasters Believe in Okun's Law? : An Assessment of Unemployment and Output Forecasts /

This paper provides an assessment of the consistency of unemployment and output forecasts. We show that, consistent with Okun's Law, forecasts of real GDP growth and the change in unemployment are negatively correlated. The Okun coefficient-the responsiveness of unemployment to growth-from fore...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Ball, Laurence
Otros Autores: Jalles, Joao Tovar, Loungani, Prakash
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF