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|c 5.00 USD
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|z 9781484345726
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|a 1018-5941
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|a BD-DhAAL
|c BD-DhAAL
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|a Anand, Rahul.
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|a Potential Growth in Emerging Asia /
|c Rahul Anand, Kevin Cheng, Sidra Rehman, Longmei Zhang.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2014.
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|a 1 online resource (26 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a Using three distinct approaches-statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model- this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993-2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in potential growth, largely reflecting a decline of total factor productivity (TFP) growth; (ii) by contrast, trend growth for the five ASEAN countries has been rather stable and might even have increased marginally, with the notable exception of Vietnam;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China, where working-age population should start shrinking, with the overall dependency ratio climbing by the end of this decade. Improving or sustaining potential growth calls for broad structural reforms.
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a Cheng, Kevin.
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|a Rehman, Sidra.
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|a Zhang, Longmei.
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2014/002
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2014/002/001.2014.issue-002-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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