Procyclicality and the Search for Early Warning Indicators /

This paper compares three types of early warning indicators of financial instability - those based on financial market prices, those based on normalized measures of total credit and those based on liabilities of financial intermediaries. Prices perform well as concurrent indicators of market conditi...

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Tác giả chính: Shin, Hyun
Định dạng: Tạp chí
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Loạt:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/258
Truy cập trực tuyến:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a This paper compares three types of early warning indicators of financial instability - those based on financial market prices, those based on normalized measures of total credit and those based on liabilities of financial intermediaries. Prices perform well as concurrent indicators of market conditions but are not suitable as early warning indicators. Total credit and liabilities convey similar information and perform better as early warning indicators, but liabilities are more transparent and the decomposition between core and non-core liabilities convey additional useful information. 
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