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|z 9781475540642
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|a 1018-5941
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|c BD-DhAAL
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|a Ho, Giang.
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|a A Financial Conditions Index for Poland /
|c Giang Ho, Yinqiu Lu.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2013.
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|a 1 online resource (16 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a This paper constructs a financial conditions index for Poland to explore the link between financial conditions and real economic activity. The index in constructed by applying two complementary approaches-factor analysis and vector auto-regression approach. We evaluate the index's forecasting performance against a composite leading indicator developed by the OECD. We found that the FCI is highly correlated with GDP growth, attesting to the importance of financial sector in Poland's economy. In-sample and out-of-sample forecasting exercises indicate that the FCI can outperform the CLI in predicting near-term GDP growth.
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a Lu, Yinqiu.
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2013/252
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2013/252/001.2013.issue-252-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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