A Financial Conditions Index for Poland /
This paper constructs a financial conditions index for Poland to explore the link between financial conditions and real economic activity. The index in constructed by applying two complementary approaches-factor analysis and vector auto-regression approach. We evaluate the index's forecasting p...
| Հիմնական հեղինակ: | |
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| Այլ հեղինակներ: | |
| Ձևաչափ: | Ամսագիր |
| Լեզու: | English |
| Հրապարակվել է: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2013.
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| Շարք: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2013/252 |
| Առցանց հասանելիություն: | Full text available on IMF |
| Ամփոփում: | This paper constructs a financial conditions index for Poland to explore the link between financial conditions and real economic activity. The index in constructed by applying two complementary approaches-factor analysis and vector auto-regression approach. We evaluate the index's forecasting performance against a composite leading indicator developed by the OECD. We found that the FCI is highly correlated with GDP growth, attesting to the importance of financial sector in Poland's economy. In-sample and out-of-sample forecasting exercises indicate that the FCI can outperform the CLI in predicting near-term GDP growth. |
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| Նյութի նկարագրություն: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Ֆիզիկական նկարագրություն: | 1 online resource (16 pages) |
| Ձևաչափ: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Հասանելի: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |