The Curious Case of the Yen as a Safe Haven Currency : A Forensic Analysis /

During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen's safe...

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Автор: Botman, Dennis
Інші автори: de Carvalho Filho, Irineu, Lam, Waikei
Формат: Журнал
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Серія:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/228
Онлайн доступ:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Botman, Dennis. 
245 1 4 |a The Curious Case of the Yen as a Safe Haven Currency :   |b A Forensic Analysis /  |c Dennis Botman, Irineu de Carvalho Filho, Waikei Lam. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2013. 
300 |a 1 online resource (21 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen's safe haven behavior. In contrast, we find evidence that changes in market participants' risk perceptions trigger derivatives trading, which in turn lead to changes in the spot exchange rate without capital flows. Specifically, we find that risk-off episodes coincide with forward hedging and reduced net short positions or a buildup of net long positions in yen. These empirical findings suggest that offshore and complex financial transactions should be part of spillover analyses and that the effectiveness of capital flow management measures or monetary policy coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a de Carvalho Filho, Irineu. 
700 1 |a Lam, Waikei. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2013/228 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2013/228/001.2013.issue-228-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library