The Curious Case of the Yen as a Safe Haven Currency : A Forensic Analysis /

During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen's safe...

Descripció completa

Dades bibliogràfiques
Autor principal: Botman, Dennis
Altres autors: de Carvalho Filho, Irineu, Lam, Waikei
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/228
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
Descripció
Sumari:During risk-off episodes, the yen is a safe haven currency and on average appreciates against the U.S. dollar. We investigate the proximate causes of yen risk-off appreciations. We find that neither capital inflows nor expectations of the future monetary policy stance can explain the yen's safe haven behavior. In contrast, we find evidence that changes in market participants' risk perceptions trigger derivatives trading, which in turn lead to changes in the spot exchange rate without capital flows. Specifically, we find that risk-off episodes coincide with forward hedging and reduced net short positions or a buildup of net long positions in yen. These empirical findings suggest that offshore and complex financial transactions should be part of spillover analyses and that the effectiveness of capital flow management measures or monetary policy coordination to address excessive exchange rate volatility might be limited in certain cases.
Descripció de l’ítem:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Descripció física:1 online resource (21 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accés:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students