Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates /

This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more than 80 percent of term premia in advanced economies. In particular they tend to expla...

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Автор: Abbritti, Mirko
Інші автори: Dell'Erba, Salvatore, Moreno, Antonio, Sola, Sergio
Формат: Журнал
Мова:English
Опубліковано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Серія:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/223
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Онлайн доступ:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Abbritti, Mirko. 
245 1 0 |a Global Factors in the Term Structure of Interest Rates /  |c Mirko Abbritti, Salvatore Dell'Erba, Antonio Moreno, Sergio Sola. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2013. 
300 |a 1 online resource (41 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper introduces global factors within a FAVAR framework in an empirical affine term structure model. We apply our method to a panel of international yield curves and show that global factors account for more than 80 percent of term premia in advanced economies. In particular they tend to explain long-term dynamics in yield curves, as opposed to domestic factors which are instead more relevant to short-run movements. We uncover the key role for global curvature in shaping term premia dynamics. We show that this novel factor precedes global economic and financial instability. In particular, it coincides with immediate expectations of permanent expansionary monetary policy during the recent crisis. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
651 7 |a United States  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Dell'Erba, Salvatore. 
700 1 |a Moreno, Antonio. 
700 1 |a Sola, Sergio. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2013/223 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2013/223/001.2013.issue-223-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library