Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions? /

This paper examines the usefulness of asset prices in predicting recessions in the G-7 countries. It finds that asset price drops are significantly associated with the beginning of a recession in these countries. In particular, the marginal effect of an equity/house price drop on the likelihood of a...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Bluedorn, John
Altri autori: Decressin, Jorg, Terrones, Marco
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/203
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF