Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions? /

This paper examines the usefulness of asset prices in predicting recessions in the G-7 countries. It finds that asset price drops are significantly associated with the beginning of a recession in these countries. In particular, the marginal effect of an equity/house price drop on the likelihood of a...

תיאור מלא

מידע ביבליוגרפי
מחבר ראשי: Bluedorn, John
מחברים אחרים: Decressin, Jorg, Terrones, Marco
פורמט: כתב-עת
שפה:English
יצא לאור: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
סדרה:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/203
גישה מקוונת:Full text available on IMF