Do Asset Price Drops Foreshadow Recessions? /

This paper examines the usefulness of asset prices in predicting recessions in the G-7 countries. It finds that asset price drops are significantly associated with the beginning of a recession in these countries. In particular, the marginal effect of an equity/house price drop on the likelihood of a...

Deskribapen osoa

Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Bluedorn, John
Beste egile batzuk: Decressin, Jorg, Terrones, Marco
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/203
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF