Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? : Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel /

This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset of macroeconomic and fiscal variables for a panel of OECD countries for the period 198...

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书目详细资料
主要作者: Dell'Erba, Salvatore
其他作者: Sola, Sergio
格式: 杂志
语言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
丛编:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/159
在线阅读:Full text available on IMF
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset of macroeconomic and fiscal variables for a panel of OECD countries for the period 1989-2012. We find that two global factors-the global monetary and fiscal policy stances-explain more than 60 percent of the variance in the long-term interest rates. Compared to the estimates from models which do not account for global factors, we find that the importance of domestic variables in explaining long-term interest rates is weakened. Moreover, the propagation of global fiscal shocks is larger in economies characterized by macroeconomic and institutional weaknesses. 
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700 1 |a Sola, Sergio. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2013/159 
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