Potential Output and Output Gap in Central America, Panama and Dominican Republic /

Potential Output is a key factor for debt sustaintability analysis and for developing strategies for growth, but unfortunately it is an unobservable variable. Using three methodologies (production function, switching, and state-space), this paper computes potential output for CAPDR countries using a...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Johnson, Christian
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/145
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Potential Output is a key factor for debt sustaintability analysis and for developing strategies for growth, but unfortunately it is an unobservable variable. Using three methodologies (production function, switching, and state-space), this paper computes potential output for CAPDR countries using annual data. Main findings are: i) CAPDR potential growth is about 4.4 percent while output gap volatility is about 1.9 percent; ii) The highest-potential growth country is Panama (6.5 percent) while the lowest-growth country is El Salvador (2.6 percent); iii) CAPDR business cycle is about eigth years.
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Beschreibung:1 online resource (42 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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