Oil and the World Economy : Some Possible Futures /

This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for l...

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Chi tiết về thư mục
Tác giả chính: Kumhof, Michael
Tác giả khác: Muir, Dirk
Định dạng: Tạp chí
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
Loạt:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/256
Truy cập trực tuyến:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Oil and the World Economy :   |b Some Possible Futures /  |c Michael Kumhof, Dirk Muir. 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a This paper, using a six-region DSGE model of the world economy, assesses the GDP and current account implications of permanent oil supply shocks hitting the world economy at an unspecified future date. For modest-sized shocks and conventional production technologies the effects are modest. But for larger shocks, for elasticities of substitution that decline as oil usage is reduced to a minimum, and for production functions in which oil acts as a critical enabler of technologies, GDP growth could drop significantly. Also, oil prices could become so high that smooth adjustment, as assumed in the model, may become very difficult. 
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700 1 |a Muir, Dirk. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2012/256 
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