The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy /

We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and to study the time profile of their macroeconomic effects for...

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מידע ביבליוגרפי
מחבר ראשי: Cashin, Paul
מחברים אחרים: Mohaddes, Kamiar, Raissi, Maziar, Raissi, Mehdi
פורמט: כתב-עת
שפה:English
יצא לאור: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
סדרה:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/253
גישה מקוונת:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Cashin, Paul. 
245 1 4 |a The Differential Effects of Oil Demand and Supply Shocks on the Global Economy /  |c Paul Cashin, Kamiar Mohaddes, Mehdi Raissi, Maziar Raissi. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2012. 
300 |a 1 online resource (41 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We employ a set of sign restrictions on the generalized impulse responses of a Global VAR model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2-2011Q2, to discriminate between supply-driven and demand-driven oil-price shocks and to study the time profile of their macroeconomic effects for different countries. The results indicate that the economic consequences of a supply-driven oil-price shock are very different from those of an oil-demand shock driven by global economic activity, and vary for oil-importing countries compared to energy exporters. While oil importers typically face a long-lived fall in economic activity in response to a supply-driven surge in oil prices, the impact is positive for energy-exporting countries that possess large proven oil/gas reserves. However, in response to an oil-demand disturbance, almost all countries in our sample experience long-run inflationary pressures and a short-run increase in real output. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Mohaddes, Kamiar. 
700 1 |a Raissi, Maziar. 
700 1 |a Raissi, Mehdi. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2012/253 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2012/253/001.2012.issue-253-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library