Dissecting Saving Dynamics : Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects /

We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the...

Szczegółowa specyfikacja

Opis bibliograficzny
1. autor: Carroll, Christopher
Kolejni autorzy: Slacalek, Jiri, Sommer, Martin
Format: Czasopismo
Język:English
Wydane: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
Seria:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/219
Dostęp online:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Streszczenie:We argue that the U.S. personal saving rate's long stability (from the 1960s through the early 1980s), subsequent steady decline (1980s - 2007), and recent substantial increase (2008 - 2011) can all be interpreted using a parsimonious 'buffer stock' model of optimal consumption in the presence of labor income uncertainty and credit constraints. Saving in the model is affected by the gap between 'target' and actual wealth, with the target wealth determined by credit conditions and uncertainty. An estimated structural version of the model suggests that increased credit availability accounts for most of the saving rate's long-term decline, while fluctuations in net wealth and uncertainty capture the bulk of the business-cycle variation.
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Opis fizyczny:1 online resource (47 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Ograniczenie dostępu:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students