As You sow so Shall You Reap : Public Investment Surges, Growth, and Debt Sustainability in togo /

This paper presents an analysis of the public investment scaling-up strategy for Togo using a dynamic macroeconomic model that explicitly analyzes the links between public investment, economic growth, and debt sustainability. In the model, public capital is productive and complementary to private ca...

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Главный автор: David, Antonio
Другие авторы: Andrle, Michal, Espinoza, Raphael, Zanna, Luis-Felipe
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/127
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a David, Antonio. 
245 1 0 |a As You sow so Shall You Reap :   |b Public Investment Surges, Growth, and Debt Sustainability in togo /  |c Antonio David, Luis-Felipe Zanna, Raphael Espinoza, Michal Andrle. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2012. 
300 |a 1 online resource (39 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper presents an analysis of the public investment scaling-up strategy for Togo using a dynamic macroeconomic model that explicitly analyzes the links between public investment, economic growth, and debt sustainability. In the model, public capital is productive and complementary to private capital, generating positive medium and long-run effects to increases in public investment. The model application indicates that a very large increase in public investment would have positive macroeconomic effects in the long-run, but would require unrealistic increases in the tax burden to cover recurrent costs and ensure debt sustainability. More modest increases in public investment would require more feasible increases in the tax burden, particularly if the efficiency of tax collection is improved. The model simulations also emphasize the importance of improvements in the efficiency of public investment to reap welfare gains. However, even if the macroeconomic implications of public investment scaling-up can be favorable in the long-run under certain assumptions on rates of return and efficiency of investment, the transition period is challenging and exposes the country to increased risk of unsustainable debt dynamics. The model was also used to assess the growth projections underlying the standard Excel-based debt sustainability analysis for Togo. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Andrle, Michal. 
700 1 |a Espinoza, Raphael. 
700 1 |a Zanna, Luis-Felipe. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2012/127 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2012/127/001.2012.issue-127-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library