Macroeconomic and Welfare Costs of U.S. Fiscal Imbalances /

In this paper we use a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents to assess the macroeconomic and welfare consequences in the United States of alternative fiscal policies over the medium-term. We find that failing to address the fiscal imbalances associated with current federal fiscal polic...

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প্রধান লেখক: Gruss, Bertrand
অন্যান্য লেখক: Torres, Jose L.
বিন্যাস: পত্রিকা
ভাষা:English
প্রকাশিত: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
মালা:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/038
অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন:Full text available on IMF
বিবরন
সংক্ষিপ্ত:In this paper we use a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents to assess the macroeconomic and welfare consequences in the United States of alternative fiscal policies over the medium-term. We find that failing to address the fiscal imbalances associated with current federal fiscal policies for a prolonged period would result in a significant crowding-out of private investment and a severe drag on growth. Compared to adopting a reform that gradually reduces federal debt to its pre-crisis level, postponing debt stabilization for two decades would entail a permanent output loss of about 17 percent and a welfare loss of almost 7 percent of lifetime consumption. Moreover, the long-run welfare gains from the adjustment would more than compensate the initial losses associated with the consolidation period.
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দৈহিক বর্ননা:1 online resource (35 pages)
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