Do Commodity Futures Help Forecast Spot Prices? /

We assess the spot price forecasting performance of 10 commodity futures at various horizons up to two years and test whether this performance is affected by market conditions. We reject efficient markets based on in-sample tests but, out-of-sample, we find that the forecast from the futures market...

Cur síos iomlán

Sonraí bibleagrafaíochta
Príomhchruthaitheoir: Reichsfeld, David
Rannpháirtithe: Roache, Shaun
Formáid: IRIS
Teanga:English
Foilsithe / Cruthaithe: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Sraith:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/254
Rochtain ar líne:Full text available on IMF