Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with An Application to a Trade Gravity Model /

This paper extends the Bayesian Model Averaging framework to panel data models where the lagged dependent variable as well as endogenous variables appear as regressors. We propose a Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging (LIBMA) methodology and then test it using simulated data. Simulation res...

詳細記述

書誌詳細
第一著者: Chen, Huigang
その他の著者: Mirestean, Alin, Tsangarides, Charalambos
フォーマット: 雑誌
言語:English
出版事項: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
シリーズ:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/230
主題:
WP
オンライン・アクセス:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with An Application to a Trade Gravity Model /  |c Huigang Chen, Alin Mirestean, Charalambos Tsangarides. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (45 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a This paper extends the Bayesian Model Averaging framework to panel data models where the lagged dependent variable as well as endogenous variables appear as regressors. We propose a Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging (LIBMA) methodology and then test it using simulated data. Simulation results suggest that asymptotically our methodology performs well both in Bayesian model averaging and selection. In particular, LIBMA recovers the data generating process well, with high posterior inclusion probabilities for all the relevant regressors, and parameter estimates very close to their true values. These findings suggest that our methodology is well suited for inference in short dynamic panel data models with endogenous regressors in the context of model uncertainty. We illustrate the use of LIBMA in an application to the estimation of a dynamic gravity model for bilateral trade. 
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650 7 |a WP  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Mirestean, Alin. 
700 1 |a Tsangarides, Charalambos. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2011/230 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2011/230/001.2011.issue-230-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library