Devaluation Crises and the Macroeconomic Consequences of Postponed Adjustment in Developing Countries.

This paper develops a small analytical model to explore the relationship between the dynamics of macroeconomic adjustment and the timing of the implementation of an adjustment program featuring a nominal devaluation. The effects of postponing adjustment depend on the source of the original shock. In...

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Библиографические подробности
Соавтор: International Monetary Fund
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1989.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1989/011
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
Описание
Итог:This paper develops a small analytical model to explore the relationship between the dynamics of macroeconomic adjustment and the timing of the implementation of an adjustment program featuring a nominal devaluation. The effects of postponing adjustment depend on the source of the original shock. In the case of a fiscal expansion, postponement implies a larger eventual devaluation and greater deviations of macroeconomic variables from their steady-state values. For adverse terms of trade shocks, postponement does not affect the size of the eventual devaluation, but does magnify the degree of post-devaluation overshooting by key macroeconomic variables.
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Объем:1 online resource (38 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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