A Bayesian-Estimated Model of Inflation Targeting in South Africa /

This paper estimates a small dynamic macroeconomic model for the South African economy with Bayesian methods. The model is tailored to assessing the impact of domestic as well as external shocks on inflation within an inflation targeting framework, by incorporating forward-looking behavior of privat...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Harjes, Thomas
مؤلفون آخرون: Ricci, Luca
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2008/048
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
الوصف
الملخص:This paper estimates a small dynamic macroeconomic model for the South African economy with Bayesian methods. The model is tailored to assessing the impact of domestic as well as external shocks on inflation within an inflation targeting framework, by incorporating forward-looking behavior of private agents and of the monetary authority. The model is able to display important empirical features of the monetary transmission mechanism that have been found in other studies. It helps to integrate the short-term inflation outlook into a consistent medium-term framework and to design the policy response for various shocks that affect inflation.
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وصف مادي:1 online resource (24 pages)
التنسيق:Mode of access: Internet
تدمد:1018-5941
وصول:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students