The Golden Rule and the Economic Cycles /

The present formulation of the golden rule in the United Kingdom allows fiscal performance to be tested explicitly on an ex-post basis. However, it requires precise dating of the economic cycle, which can lead to significant controversy. Also, the need to aim for current balance or better "over...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Honjo, Keiko
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2007/199
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 4 |a The Golden Rule and the Economic Cycles /  |c Keiko Honjo. 
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a The present formulation of the golden rule in the United Kingdom allows fiscal performance to be tested explicitly on an ex-post basis. However, it requires precise dating of the economic cycle, which can lead to significant controversy. Also, the need to aim for current balance or better "over the cycle" may force fiscal policy to be procyclical toward the end of cycles. Using dynamic stochastic simulations, the paper suggests that making the formulation of the golden rule forward-looking and independent of the dating of the economic cycle would reduce the risk of procyclicality and enhance macroeconomic stability. 
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830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2007/199 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2007/199/001.2007.issue-199-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library