Volatility and Jump Risk Premia in Emerging Market Bonds /

There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and unanticipated jumps. The presence of frequent jumps makes it natural to ask whether there is a premium for jump risk embedded in observed bond yields. This paper identifies a class of jump-di...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor Principal: Matovu, John
Formato: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2007/172
Acceso en liña:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Volatility and Jump Risk Premia in Emerging Market Bonds /  |c John Matovu. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2007. 
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490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
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520 3 |a There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and unanticipated jumps. The presence of frequent jumps makes it natural to ask whether there is a premium for jump risk embedded in observed bond yields. This paper identifies a class of jump-diffusion models that are successful in approximating the term structure of interest rates of emerging markets. The parameters of the term structure of interest rates are reconciled with the associated bond yields by estimating the volatility and jump risk premia in highly volatile markets. Using the simulated method of moments (SMM), results suggest that all variants of models which do not take into account stochastic volatility and unanticipated jumps cannot generate the non-normalities consistent with the observed interest rates. Jumps occur (8,10) times a year in Argentina and Brazil, respectively. The size and variance of these jumps is also of statistical significance. 
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830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2007/172 
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