Testing for Cointegration Using the Johansen Methodology when Variables are Near-Integrated /

We investigate the properties of Johansen's (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the empirically relevant situation of near-integrated variables. Using Monte Carlo techniques, we show that in a system with near-integrated variables, the probability of reaching...

Celý popis

Podrobná bibliografie
Hlavní autor: Osterholm, Par
Další autoři: Hjalmarsson, Erik
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2007/141
Témata:
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
LEADER 01868cas a2200265 a 4500
001 AALejournalIMF009330
008 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d
020 |c 5.00 USD 
020 |z 9781451867053 
022 |a 1018-5941 
040 |a BD-DhAAL  |c BD-DhAAL 
100 1 |a Osterholm, Par. 
245 1 0 |a Testing for Cointegration Using the Johansen Methodology when Variables are Near-Integrated /  |c Par Osterholm, Erik Hjalmarsson. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2007. 
300 |a 1 online resource (19 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We investigate the properties of Johansen's (1988, 1991) maximum eigenvalue and trace tests for cointegration under the empirically relevant situation of near-integrated variables. Using Monte Carlo techniques, we show that in a system with near-integrated variables, the probability of reaching an erroneous conclusion regarding the cointegrating rank of the system is generally substantially higher than the nominal size. The risk of concluding that completely unrelated series are cointegrated is therefore non-negligible. The spurious rejection rate can be reduced by performing additional tests of restrictions on the cointegrating vector(s), although it is still substantially larger than the nominal size. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
651 7 |a United States  |2 imf 
700 1 |a Hjalmarsson, Erik. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2007/141 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2007/141/001.2007.issue-141-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library