U.S. Inflation Dynamics : What Drives Them Over Different Frequencies? /

This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is...

Täydet tiedot

Bibliografiset tiedot
Päätekijä: Balakrishnan, Ravi
Muut tekijät: Ouliaris, Sam
Aineistotyyppi: Aikakauslehti
Kieli:English
Julkaistu: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Sarja:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/159
Linkit:Full text available on IMF
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100 1 |a Balakrishnan, Ravi. 
245 1 0 |a U.S. Inflation Dynamics :   |b What Drives Them Over Different Frequencies? /  |c Ravi Balakrishnan, Sam Ouliaris. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2006. 
300 |a 1 online resource (27 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and cyclical movements, and we show that such a distinction is critical. In particular, we study traditional Phillips curve (TPC) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation cannot be explained in terms of changes in external trade and global factor markets. These variables tend to impact inflation primarily over the business cycle. We infer that the secular decline in inflation may well reflect improved monetary policy credibility and, thus, maintaining low inflation in the long run is closely linked to anchored inflation expectations. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Ouliaris, Sam. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2006/159 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2006/159/001.2006.issue-159-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library