What Drives Inflation Expectations in Brazil? : An Empirical Analysis /

This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of survey inflation expectations in Brazil since the adoption of inflation targeting in 1999. The results suggest that the inflation targeting framework has helped anchor expectations, with the dispersion of inflation expectations declining consider...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Cerisola, Martin
Daljnji autori: Gelos, R.
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/109
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a What Drives Inflation Expectations in Brazil? :   |b An Empirical Analysis /  |c Martin Cerisola, R. Gelos. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 2005. 
300 |a 1 online resource (22 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of survey inflation expectations in Brazil since the adoption of inflation targeting in 1999. The results suggest that the inflation targeting framework has helped anchor expectations, with the dispersion of inflation expectations declining considerably, particularly during periods of high uncertainty. We also find that apart from the inflation target, the stance of fiscal policy, as proxied by the ratio of the consolidated primary surplus to GDP, has been instrumental in shaping expectations. The importance of past inflation in determining expectations appears to be relatively low, and the overall empirical evidence does not suggest the presence of substantial inertia in the inflation process. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Gelos, R. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2005/109 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2005/109/001.2005.issue-109-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library