IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.
This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to...
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| 格式: | 雜誌 |
| 語言: | English |
| 出版: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2010.
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| 叢編: | IMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ;
No. 2010/001 |
| 在線閱讀: | Full text available on IMF |