IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.
This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to...
団体著者: | |
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フォーマット: | 雑誌 |
言語: | English |
出版事項: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2010.
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シリーズ: | IMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ;
No. 2010/001 |
オンライン・アクセス: | Full text available on IMF |