IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor Corporativo: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept
Formato: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Series:IMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ; No. 2010/001
Acceso en liña:Full text available on IMF