IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to...

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Détails bibliographiques
Collectivité auteur: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Collection:IMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ; No. 2010/001
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF