IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010.

This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to...

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مؤلف مشترك: International Monetary Fund. Research Dept
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
سلاسل:IMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ; No. 2010/001
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF