The Terms of Trade and Economic Fluctuations /

A three-good, stochastic intertemporal equilibrium model of a small open economy is used to examine the link between terms of trade and business cycles. Equilibrium co-movements of model economies representing industrial and developing countries are computed and compared with the stylized facts of 3...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Mendoza, Enrique
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1992.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1992/098
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:A three-good, stochastic intertemporal equilibrium model of a small open economy is used to examine the link between terms of trade and business cycles. Equilibrium co-movements of model economies representing industrial and developing countries are computed and compared with the stylized facts of 30 countries. The results show that terms-of-trade shocks account for half of observed output variability and that the model mimics the Harberger-Laursen-Metzler effect and produces large deviations from purchasing power parity. The elasticity of substitution between tradable and nontradable goods and the persistence of the shocks play a key role in producing these results.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (72 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students