Using An EC-Wide Monetary Aggregate in Stage Two of EMU /

This paper looks at whether the aggregate ERM money supply has been a useful predictor of short-term changes in inflation and growth, and long-term trends in price levels among the core ERM countries. The evidence suggests that over the period since 1987, when there have been no realignments, the ER...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Kenen, Peter
Other Authors: Bayoumi, Tamim
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1992.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1992/056
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper looks at whether the aggregate ERM money supply has been a useful predictor of short-term changes in inflation and growth, and long-term trends in price levels among the core ERM countries. The evidence suggests that over the period since 1987, when there have been no realignments, the ERM money supply performs at least as well, and arguably better, than the individual national aggregates in predicting nominal aggregates such as inflation and the price level, while neither money supply is a good predictor of real activity.
Item Description:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Physical Description:1 online resource (20 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students