Speculative Attacks in the Asian Crisis /

This paper takes the Asian crisis as an example to show that the Autoregressive Conditional Hazard (ACH) model is a powerful tool for studying the time series features of speculative attacks. The ACH model proposes a duration variable to capture the changes in the frequency of attacks, which might b...

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书目详细资料
主要作者: Zhang, Zhiwei
格式: 杂志
语言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2001.
丛编:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2001/189
在线阅读:Full text available on IMF
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245 1 0 |a Speculative Attacks in the Asian Crisis /  |c Zhiwei Zhang. 
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300 |a 1 online resource (20 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a This paper takes the Asian crisis as an example to show that the Autoregressive Conditional Hazard (ACH) model is a powerful tool for studying the time series features of speculative attacks. The ACH model proposes a duration variable to capture the changes in the frequency of attacks, which might be an important factor influencing investors' expectations. The empirical results show that the ACH model explains the crisis far better than the Probit model. The duration variable is highly significant while most fundamentals are not. The contagion effect is tested and accepted under the ACH specification. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 2001/189 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2001/189/001.2001.issue-189-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library