The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate : Rational Expectations, Long-Run Equilibrium and Forecasting /

We re-examine the monetary approach to the exchange rate from a number of perspectives, using monthly data on the deutschemark-dollar exchange rate. Using the Campbell-Shiller technique for testing present value models, we reject the restrictions imposed upon the data by the forward-looking rational...

Descripció completa

Dades bibliogràfiques
Autor principal: MacDonald, Ronald
Altres autors: Taylor, Mark
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1992.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1992/034
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
LEADER 01767cas a2200253 a 4500
001 AALejournalIMF007995
008 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d
020 |c 5.00 USD 
020 |z 9781451978803 
022 |a 1018-5941 
040 |a BD-DhAAL  |c BD-DhAAL 
100 1 |a MacDonald, Ronald. 
245 1 4 |a The Monetary Approach to the Exchange Rate :   |b Rational Expectations, Long-Run Equilibrium and Forecasting /  |c Ronald MacDonald, Mark Taylor. 
264 1 |a Washington, D.C. :  |b International Monetary Fund,  |c 1992. 
300 |a 1 online resource (28 pages) 
490 1 |a IMF Working Papers 
500 |a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
506 |a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students 
520 3 |a We re-examine the monetary approach to the exchange rate from a number of perspectives, using monthly data on the deutschemark-dollar exchange rate. Using the Campbell-Shiller technique for testing present value models, we reject the restrictions imposed upon the data by the forward-looking rational expectations monetary model. We demonstrate, however, that the monetary model is validated as a long-run equilibrium condition. Moreover, imposing the long-run monetary model restrictions in a dynamic error correction framework leads to exchange rate forecasts which are superior to those generated by a random walk forecasting model. 
538 |a Mode of access: Internet 
700 1 |a Taylor, Mark. 
830 0 |a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;  |v No. 1992/034 
856 4 0 |z Full text available on IMF  |u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1992/034/001.1992.issue-034-en.xml  |z IMF e-Library