U.S. Consumption after the 2008 Crisis /
U.S. household consumption declined sharply in late 2008, marking a departure from the trend of a steady increase in U.S. consumption as a share of income since the 1980s. Combining econometric and simulation analysis, we estimate that this departure will be sustained beyond the crisis: the U.S. hou...
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| Other Authors: | , |
| Format: | Journal |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2010.
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| Series: | IMF Staff Position Notes; Staff Position Note ;
No. 2010/001 |
| Online Access: | Full text available on IMF |
| Summary: | U.S. household consumption declined sharply in late 2008, marking a departure from the trend of a steady increase in U.S. consumption as a share of income since the 1980s. Combining econometric and simulation analysis, we estimate that this departure will be sustained beyond the crisis: the U.S. household consumption rate will likely decline somewhat further from its current level, as the saving rate rises to around 6 percent of disposable personal income (from nearly 5 percent in 2009). Compared to the pre-crisis years (2003-07), this saving rate implies a decline in U.S. private-sector demand on the order of 3 percentage points of GDP. |
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| Item Description: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Physical Description: | 1 online resource (23 pages) |
| Format: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 2617-6742 |
| Access: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |