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|z 9781451850307
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|a 1018-5941
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|a Sgherri, Silvia.
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|a The Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS in Botswana /
|c Silvia Sgherri, Maitland MacFarlan.
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|a Washington, D.C. :
|b International Monetary Fund,
|c 2001.
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|a 1 online resource (42 pages)
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|a IMF Working Papers
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|a <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
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|a Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students
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|a This paper provides an overview of the potential macroeconomic effects of HIV/AIDS in Botswana, focusing on the key channels through which the pandemic is likely to affect the economic outlook and on the uncertainties involved. To estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS, a dual-economy equilibrium model is constructed and simulated under different scenarios. Depending on exactly how AIDS affects the outlook, GDP growth is projected to fall from around 5 1\2 percent a year without the pandemic to between 1 1\2 and 2 1\2 percent a year with AIDS. Non-negligible redistribution effects across sectors and labor skill categories are also likely to arise. Finally, the paper draws attention to the potential effects of HIV/AIDS on the long-term fiscal position of Botswana, highlighting the need for increased international support and/or lower drug prices so that the widespread introduction of anti-retroviral drug treatments is feasible.
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|a Mode of access: Internet
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|a MacFarlan, Maitland.
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|a IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
|v No. 2001/080
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|z Full text available on IMF
|u http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2001/080/001.2001.issue-080-en.xml
|z IMF e-Library
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