The Fall and Recovery of the Cuban Economy in the 1990's : Mirage or Reality? /

The collapse of the Cuban economy following the cessation of Soviet assistance gave way to a strong recovery in 1994-96. There are three possible explanations for this recovery: (i) that it never took place; (ii) that it reflected a surge in productivity resulting from stabilization and liberalizati...

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Autor principal: Hernandez-Cata, Ernesto
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2001.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2001/048
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a The collapse of the Cuban economy following the cessation of Soviet assistance gave way to a strong recovery in 1994-96. There are three possible explanations for this recovery: (i) that it never took place; (ii) that it reflected a surge in productivity resulting from stabilization and liberalization in 1993-94; or (iii) that it resulted from a favorable aggregate demand shock. The second explanation-the most persuasive-suggests that a strong and durable expansion will probably not be achieved on the basis of present policies, but that the benefits of a full liberalization of the economy are likely to be considerable. 
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