Signaling Fiscal Regime Sustainability /

This paper proposes a signaling model that offers a new perspective on why governments deviate from optimal tax smoothing and delay debt stabilization. In our model, dependable-but not fully credible-governments have an incentive to tighten the fiscal regime when the signaling effect on credit ratin...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Autor principal: Prati, Alessandro
Outros Autores: Drudi, Francesco
Formato: Periódico
Idioma:English
Publicado em: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Colecção:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/086
Acesso em linha:Full text available on IMF
Descrição
Resumo:This paper proposes a signaling model that offers a new perspective on why governments deviate from optimal tax smoothing and delay debt stabilization. In our model, dependable-but not fully credible-governments have an incentive to tighten the fiscal regime when the signaling effect on credit ratings is larger (that is, when a sufficiently large stock of debt has been accumulated). At this point, they may deviate from tax smoothing not to be mimicked by weak governments. The model predicts that primary balances and debt stocks are complementary inputs in the credit rating function as tests on Italian, Irish, Belgian, and Danish data show.
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Descrição Física:1 online resource (38 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students