Stability of Velocity in the Group of Seven Countries : A Kalman Filter Approach /
This paper estimates forecasting models using annual data for the income velocity of money in the G-7 countries. The predictions are conditional upon the realized value of the long-term domestic government bond rate. Such conditional forecasts did not deteriorate over the period 1980-1988 as compare...
| Hlavní autor: | |
|---|---|
| Médium: | Časopis |
| Jazyk: | English |
| Vydáno: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
1990.
|
| Edice: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 1990/080 |
| On-line přístup: | Full text available on IMF |
| Shrnutí: | This paper estimates forecasting models using annual data for the income velocity of money in the G-7 countries. The predictions are conditional upon the realized value of the long-term domestic government bond rate. Such conditional forecasts did not deteriorate over the period 1980-1988 as compared with the earlier postwar period. Velocity of M1 is found to be very interest-elastic in almost all countries; velocity of M2 less so. The specifications (based on Kalman filters and smoothers) point to a non-constant (stochastic) trend in velocity, hence questioning the assumptions required for the cointegration techniques used in other research on the demand for money. |
|---|---|
| Popis jednotky: | <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required |
| Fyzický popis: | 1 online resource (34 pages) |
| Médium: | Mode of access: Internet |
| ISSN: | 1018-5941 |
| Přístup: | Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students |