The Feldstein-Horioka Test of International Capital Mobility : Is it Feasible? /

Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the correlation of saving and investment in a cross-section of countries may provide a test of global capital mobility. This paper argues that neither the long-run nor the short-run correlation can serve as a reliable basis for such a test. The intertemporal...

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Hlavní autor: Jansen, W.
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1996.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1996/100
Témata:
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
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520 3 |a Feldstein and Horioka (1980) argued that the correlation of saving and investment in a cross-section of countries may provide a test of global capital mobility. This paper argues that neither the long-run nor the short-run correlation can serve as a reliable basis for such a test. The intertemporal budget constraint implies that each country's saving and investment should be cointegrated over time. Simulations show that the cross-section regressions used in the literature will produce correlations that strongly tend towards one, regardless of the degree of capital mobility. Although the short-run correlation is not affected by the intertemporal budget constraint, the empirical analysis shows it is primarily a country-specific business cycle fact. 
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