The Mexican Peso Crisis : Overview and Analysis of Credibility Factors /

This paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation expectations. Estimation...

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Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: Masson, Paul
Другие авторы: Agenor, Pierre-Richard
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1996.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1996/006
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
Описание
Итог:This paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation expectations. Estimation results indicate that investors appear to have seriously underestimated the risk of devaluation, despite early warning signals. The collapse of confidence that followed the December 20 devaluation may have been the result of a shift in the perceived commitment of the authorities to exchange rate stability.
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Объем:1 online resource (36 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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