The Dynamic Implications of Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries /

The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show that...

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Détails bibliographiques
Auteur principal: Bulir, Ales
Autres auteurs: Rodriguez-Delgado, Jose Daniel, Romero-Barrutieta, Alma
Format: Revue
Langue:English
Publié: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Collection:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/157
Accès en ligne:Full text available on IMF
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Résumé:The effects of debt relief on incentives to accumulate debt, consume, and invest are an important concern for donors and recipients. Using a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of a small open economy with a minimum consumption requirement and an endogenous relief probability, we show that excessive debt accumulation is consistent with an anticipation of a future debt relief. Simulations of the calibrated model using 1982-2006 Ugandan data suggest that debt-relief episodes are likely to have only a temporary impact on the level of debt in low-income countries, while being associated with more consumption and less invesment. The long-run debt-to-GDP ratio is estimated to be about twice as high with debt relief than without it.
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Description matérielle:1 online resource (26 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accès:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students